By Swati Pandey and Jane Wardell
CANBERRA (Reuters) - Australia's center-right government is expected to announce hefty health and infrastructure spending and deliver some voter-sweetening tax cuts in an annual budget on Tuesday that unofficially kicks off campaigning for elections next year.
Speculation is also growing that recent growth in government coffers, largely from company taxes, will let the Liberal-National coalition fulfill its promise of returning the finances to surplus a year earlier than planned. There has been almost a decade of deficits.
Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull needs a positive response to the budget after a series of setbacks, including a dual citizenship crisis and a sex scandal involving his deputy, that have seen his popularity plummet in polls from record highs of late 2015.
Revelations of serious misconduct in Australia's powerful banking sector - during an ongoing inquiry the government initially resisted as unnecessary - have ramped up the pressure.
While Treasurer Scott Morrison recently laughed off suggestions he would be playing Santa on Tuesday, warning instead that tax cuts targeting lower and middle-income earners would not be "mammoth", he has moved away from his "debt and deficit disaster" rhetoric of recent years.
"The plan for a stronger economy that I'll be announcing tonight is about improving the opportunities for all Australians to live in a stronger economy," Morrison told reporters as he arrived at Parliament House early on Tuesday, justifying higher debt and spending to boost economic growth.
"It's a plan for lower taxes and for reducing the pressure on households," he added. "It's a plan to back business to create more jobs."
In its mid-year review in December, the government forecast a A$10.2 billion ($7.69 billion) surplus in 2020/21, the first since 2007/08, from an estimated A$20.5 billion deficit for 2018/19.
In the 12 months to March, Australia's budget deficit shrank to A$14 billion, or around 0.8 percent of gross domestic product, the smallest annual shortfall for nine years, official data shows. That's lower than Morrison's projection of a deficit of around A$20.5 billion for this financial year.
Morrison declined to say if the 2019/20 budget will forecast a surplus, noting only the intent to "return to that level as soon as possible".
AAA RATING
Australia's A$1.8 trillion ($1.4 trillion) economy has outperformed many rich world peers since the global financial crisis, but in recent years it has struggled to manage the end of a mining investment boom that underpinned much of its wealth.