We Think Airtel Africa (LON:AAF) Might Have The DNA Of A Multi-Bagger

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If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. Speaking of which, we noticed some great changes in Airtel Africa's (LON:AAF) returns on capital, so let's have a look.

What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Airtel Africa, this is the formula:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.22 = US$1.5b ÷ (US$11b - US$4.0b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

Thus, Airtel Africa has an ROCE of 22%. In absolute terms that's a great return and it's even better than the Wireless Telecom industry average of 8.7%.

See our latest analysis for Airtel Africa

roce
LSE:AAF Return on Capital Employed January 10th 2025

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Airtel Africa compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for Airtel Africa .

What Can We Tell From Airtel Africa's ROCE Trend?

Airtel Africa has not disappointed with their ROCE growth. The figures show that over the last five years, ROCE has grown 96% whilst employing roughly the same amount of capital. So our take on this is that the business has increased efficiencies to generate these higher returns, all the while not needing to make any additional investments. It's worth looking deeper into this though because while it's great that the business is more efficient, it might also mean that going forward the areas to invest internally for the organic growth are lacking.

On a side note, we noticed that the improvement in ROCE appears to be partly fueled by an increase in current liabilities. Essentially the business now has suppliers or short-term creditors funding about 37% of its operations, which isn't ideal. Keep an eye out for future increases because when the ratio of current liabilities to total assets gets particularly high, this can introduce some new risks for the business.

In Conclusion...

In summary, we're delighted to see that Airtel Africa has been able to increase efficiencies and earn higher rates of return on the same amount of capital. Since the stock has returned a staggering 106% to shareholders over the last five years, it looks like investors are recognizing these changes. With that being said, we still think the promising fundamentals mean the company deserves some further due diligence.