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Samsonite International S.A. (HKG:1910), which is in the luxury business, and is based in Luxembourg, saw a significant share price rise of over 20% in the past couple of months on the SEHK. With many analysts covering the mid-cap stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. However, could the stock still be trading at a relatively cheap price? Let’s take a look at Samsonite International’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if the opportunity still exists.
See our latest analysis for Samsonite International
Is Samsonite International still cheap?
According to my relative valuation model, the stock seems to be currently fairly priced. In this instance, I’ve used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock’s cash flows. I find that Samsonite International’s ratio of 13.94x is trading slightly above its industry peers’ ratio of 9.36x, which means if you buy Samsonite International today, you’d be paying a relatively reasonable price for it. And if you believe Samsonite International should be trading in this range, then there isn’t really any room for the share price grow beyond what it’s currently trading. Is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since Samsonite International’s share price is quite volatile, we could potentially see it sink lower (or rise higher) in the future, giving us another chance to buy. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.
What does the future of Samsonite International look like?
Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Samsonite International’s earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 24%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.
What this means for you:
Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in 1910’s positive outlook, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at 1910? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below its fair value?