Will Waterco Limited (ASX:WAT) Continue To Underperform Its Industry?

Waterco Limited’s (ASX:WAT) most recent return on equity was a substandard 5.99% relative to its industry performance of 10.98% over the past year. Though WAT’s recent performance is underwhelming, it is useful to understand what ROE is made up of and how it should be interpreted. Knowing these components can change your views on WAT’s below-average returns. I will take you through how metrics such as financial leverage impact ROE which may affect the overall sustainability of WAT’s returns. See our latest analysis for Waterco

Breaking down Return on Equity

Firstly, Return on Equity, or ROE, is simply the percentage of last years’ earning against the book value of shareholders’ equity. It essentially shows how much the company can generate in earnings given the amount of equity it has raised. Generally speaking, a higher ROE is preferred; however, there are other factors we must also consider before making any conclusions.

Return on Equity = Net Profit ÷ Shareholders Equity

ROE is assessed against cost of equity, which is measured using the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) – but let’s not dive into the details of that today. For now, let’s just look at the cost of equity number for Waterco, which is 9.10%. This means Waterco’s returns actually do not cover its own cost of equity, with a discrepancy of -3.11%. This isn’t sustainable as it implies, very simply, that the company pays more for its capital than what it generates in return. ROE can be split up into three useful ratios: net profit margin, asset turnover, and financial leverage. This is called the Dupont Formula:

Dupont Formula

ROE = profit margin × asset turnover × financial leverage

ROE = (annual net profit ÷ sales) × (sales ÷ assets) × (assets ÷ shareholders’ equity)

ROE = annual net profit ÷ shareholders’ equity

ASX:WAT Last Perf Feb 5th 18
ASX:WAT Last Perf Feb 5th 18

The first component is profit margin, which measures how much of sales is retained after the company pays for all its expenses. Asset turnover reveals how much revenue can be generated from Waterco’s asset base. Finally, financial leverage will be our main focus today. It shows how much of assets are funded by equity and can show how sustainable the company’s capital structure is. Since financial leverage can artificially inflate ROE, we need to look at how much debt Waterco currently has. Currently the debt-to-equity ratio stands at a low 28.26%, which means Waterco still has headroom to take on more leverage in order to increase profits.

ASX:WAT Historical Debt Feb 5th 18
ASX:WAT Historical Debt Feb 5th 18

Next Steps:

ROE is a simple yet informative ratio, illustrating the various components that each measure the quality of the overall stock. Waterco’s below-industry ROE is disappointing, furthermore, its returns were not even high enough to cover its own cost of equity. However, ROE is not likely to be inflated by excessive debt funding, giving shareholders more conviction in the sustainability of returns, which has headroom to increase further. ROE is a helpful signal, but it is definitely not sufficient on its own to make an investment decision.