Yellow Brick Road Holdings Limited (ASX:YBR) is currently trading at a trailing P/E of 27.1x, which is higher than the industry average of 19.4x. While YBR might seem like a stock to avoid or sell if you own it, it is important to understand the assumptions behind the P/E ratio before you make any investment decisions. In this article, I will deconstruct the P/E ratio and highlight what you need to be careful of when using the P/E ratio. View our latest analysis for Yellow Brick Road Holdings
What you need to know about the P/E ratio
The P/E ratio is a popular ratio used in relative valuation since earnings power is a key driver of investment value. It compares a stock’s price per share to the stock’s earnings per share. A more intuitive way of understanding the P/E ratio is to think of it as how much investors are paying for each dollar of the company’s earnings.
P/E Calculation for YBR
Price-Earnings Ratio = Price per share ÷ Earnings per share
YBR Price-Earnings Ratio = A$0.12 ÷ A$0.004 = 27.1x
On its own, the P/E ratio doesn’t tell you much; however, it becomes extremely useful when you compare it with other similar companies. We preferably want to compare the stock’s P/E ratio to the average of companies that have similar features to YBR, such as capital structure and profitability. One way of gathering a peer group is to use firms in the same industry, which is what I’ll do. At 27.1x, YBR’s P/E is higher than its industry peers (19.4x). This implies that investors are overvaluing each dollar of YBR’s earnings. As such, our analysis shows that YBR represents an over-priced stock.
Assumptions to be aware of
Before you jump to the conclusion that YBR should be banished from your portfolio, it is important to realise that our conclusion rests on two assertions. The first is that our “similar companies” are actually similar to YBR, or else the difference in P/E might be a result of other factors. For example, if you are comparing lower risk firms with YBR, then its P/E would naturally be lower than its peers, as investors would value those with lower risk at a higher price. The second assumption that must hold true is that the stocks we are comparing YBR to are fairly valued by the market. If this does not hold true, YBR’s lower P/E ratio may be because firms in our peer group are overvalued by the market.
What this means for you:
Are you a shareholder? If your personal research into the stock confirms what the P/E ratio is telling you, it might be a good time to rebalance your portfolio and reduce your holdings in YBR. But keep in mind that the usefulness of relative valuation depends on whether you are comfortable with making the assumptions I mentioned above.